tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Philadelphia: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:05 DTW → 07:51 PHL
    AA 5170 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 88% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 PHL → 12:31 XNA
    AA 5543 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 03m · 80% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 26mDTW 06:05 to XNA 12:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.