tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Richmond via Philadelphia: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:05 DTW → 07:51 PHL
    AA 5170 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 88% on time, 5.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 PHL → 10:29 RIC
    AA 5894 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 24m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (5.2% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 24mDTW 06:05 to RIC 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.