tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Charleston via Washington: arrives on time 18%

  1. 17:29 DTW → 19:15 DCA
    AA 5172 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 43m · 45% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 DCA → 21:54 CHS
    AA 1278 · American · 1h 42m · 48% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip4h 25mDTW 17:29 to CHS 21:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.