tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Grand Rapids via Washington: arrives on time 20%

  1. 17:29 DTW → 19:15 DCA
    AA 5172 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 43m · 45% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DCA → 22:00 GRR
    AA 5376 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 57m · 61% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 33mDTW 17:29 to GRR 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.