tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Savannah via Washington: arrives on time 16%

  1. 17:29 DTW → 19:15 DCA
    AA 5172 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 43m · 45% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:01 DCA → 21:57 SAV
    AA 5384 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 56m · 56% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 28mDTW 17:29 to SAV 21:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.