tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Pittsburgh via Washington: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:29 DTW → 19:15 DCA
    AA 5172 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 43m · 45% on time, 9.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 DCA → 21:45 PIT
    AA 4763 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 14m · 69% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (9.7% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 20mDTW 17:29 to PIT 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.