tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Panama City Beach → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 49%

  1. 11:00 ECP → 13:46 CLT
    AA 5179 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 83% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 CLT → 15:56 ORD
    AA 2080 · American · 2h 21m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 56mECP 11:00 to ORD 15:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.