tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Panama City Beach → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 43%

  1. 11:00 ECP → 13:46 CLT
    AA 5179 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 46m · 83% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:34 CLT → 16:13 DCA
    AA 2839 · American · 1h 39m · 66% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Panama City Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 13mECP 11:00 to DCA 16:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.