tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 71%

  1. 10:00 TYS → 11:17 CLT
    AA 5182 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 17m · 86% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:35 CLT → 16:40 EWR
    UA 3450 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 05m · 84% on time, 9.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (9.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 40mTYS 10:00 to EWR 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.