tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Atlanta via Philadelphia: arrives on time 32%

  1. 14:59 PVD → 16:23 PHL
    AA 5189 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 24m · 46% on time, 13.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 PHL → 19:55 ATL
    AA 3041 · American · 2h 20m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (13.3% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 56mPVD 14:59 to ATL 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.