tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Charlotte via Washington: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:03 GRR → 15:59 DCA
    AA 5200 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 53m · 36% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 DCA → 19:37 CLT
    AA 2182 · American · 1h 47m · 71% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 34mGRR 14:03 to CLT 19:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.