tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Chicago via Greenville: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:44 CLT → 17:47 GSP
    AA 5203 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 03m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Greenville (GSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:43 GSP → 20:14 ORD
    AA 3559 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 70% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 30mCLT 16:44 to ORD 20:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.