tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Greenville → Charlotte via Washington: arrives on time 18%

  1. 12:54 GSP → 14:29 DCA
    AA 5204 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 40m · 56% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:23 DCA → 17:10 CLT
    AA 804 · American · 1h 47m · 48% on time, 13.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (13.8% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip4h 16mGSP 12:54 to CLT 17:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.