tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Fort Lauderdale via Philadelphia: arrives on time 33%

  1. 10:58 IND → 12:56 PHL
    AA 5209 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 58m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:14 PHL → 17:02 FLL
    AA 3241 · American · 2h 53m · 54% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip6h 09mIND 10:58 to FLL 17:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.