tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 BHM → 09:20 PHL
    AA 5218 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 PHL → 13:25 TPA
    AA 2049 · American · 2h 50m · 87% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 25mBHM 06:00 to TPA 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.