tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Miami via Philadelphia: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 BHM → 09:20 PHL
    AA 5218 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 PHL → 14:30 MIA
    AA 3302 · American · 2h 59m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 29mBHM 06:00 to MIA 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.