tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 53%

  1. 09:20 IAD → 10:57 CLT
    AA 5219 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 CLT → 13:47 JFK
    AA 2812 · American · 2h 02m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 27mIAD 09:20 to JFK 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.