tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Hebron via Charlotte: arrives on time 33%

  1. 09:20 IAD → 10:57 CLT
    AA 5219 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:59 CLT → 13:24 CVG
    AA 3278 · American · 1h 25m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip4h 04mIAD 09:20 to CVG 13:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.