tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Dayton via Charlotte: arrives on time 67%

  1. 09:20 IAD → 10:57 CLT
    AA 5219 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:47 CLT → 13:31 DAY
    AA 5490 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 42m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 09mIAD 09:20 to DAY 13:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.