tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:08 IAD → 14:42 CLT
    AA 5220 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 72% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 CLT → 18:57 MIA
    AA 2231 · American · 2h 17m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 49mIAD 13:08 to MIA 18:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.