tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Harrisburg via Charlotte: arrives on time 40%

  1. 13:08 IAD → 14:42 CLT
    AA 5220 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 72% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 CLT → 17:13 MDT
    AA 5275 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 43m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 05mIAD 13:08 to MDT 17:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.