tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:31 DAY → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5234 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 CLT → 11:12 PHL
    AA 2291 · American · 1h 43m · 72% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 41mDAY 06:31 to PHL 11:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.