tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:31 DAY → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5234 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 CLT → 12:43 PHL
    AA 2498 · American · 1h 43m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 12mDAY 06:31 to PHL 12:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.