tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:31 DAY → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5234 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:21 CLT → 10:50 DCA
    AA 2825 · American · 1h 29m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 19mDAY 06:31 to DCA 10:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.