tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:31 DAY → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5234 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:01 CLT → 12:19 ORD
    AA 2908 · American · 2h 18m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 48mDAY 06:31 to ORD 12:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.