tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:31 DAY → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5234 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:35 CLT → 11:59 ORD
    UA 4680 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 28mDAY 06:31 to ORD 11:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.