tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:31 DAY → 08:20 CLT
    AA 5234 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:27 CLT → 11:55 IAD
    UA 4012 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 28m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 24mDAY 06:31 to IAD 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.