tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Boston via Washington: arrives on time 60%

  1. 09:29 ILM → 10:59 DCA
    AA 5235 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 33m · 82% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:59 DCA → 14:44 BOS
    AA 4380 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 72% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 14mILM 09:29 to BOS 14:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.