tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Charlotte via Washington: arrives on time 28%

  1. 15:16 ILM → 16:48 DCA
    AA 5237 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 43% on time, 11.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 DCA → 19:37 CLT
    AA 2182 · American · 1h 47m · 71% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (11.3% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 21mILM 15:16 to CLT 19:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.