tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Denver via Charlotte: arrives on time 50%

  1. 08:30 DAY → 10:19 CLT
    AA 5242 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:32 CLT → 15:03 DEN
    AA 1735 · American · 3h 31m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip8h 33mDAY 08:30 to DEN 15:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.