tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 08:30 DAY → 10:19 CLT
    AA 5242 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:05 CLT → 14:20 ORD
    AA 836 · American · 2h 15m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 50mDAY 08:30 to ORD 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.