tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Rochester via Washington: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:49 DTW → 08:39 DCA
    AA 5244 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 50m · 84% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 DCA → 11:21 ROC
    AA 5374 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 22m · 69% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 32mDTW 06:49 to ROC 11:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.