tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Madison via Washington: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:49 DTW → 08:39 DCA
    AA 5244 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 50m · 84% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 DCA → 12:13 MSN
    AA 4523 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 23m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip6h 24mDTW 06:49 to MSN 12:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.