tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Des Moines via Philadelphia: arrives on time 65%

  1. 16:40 DCA → 17:47 PHL
    AA 5248 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 06m · 66% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:29 PHL → 21:40 DSM
    AA 5478 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 06m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 55mDCA 16:40 to DSM 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.