tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Fort Lauderdale via Philadelphia: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:35 JAX → 18:54 PHL
    AA 5248 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 19m · 54% on time, 6.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 PHL → 23:02 FLL
    AA 2780 · American · 3h 02m · 81% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (6.3% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 27mJAX 16:35 to FLL 23:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.