tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Houston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:35 JAX → 18:54 PHL
    AA 5248 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 19m · 54% on time, 6.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 PHL → 22:49 IAH
    AA 3021 · American · 3h 54m · 70% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (6.3% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 14mJAX 16:35 to IAH 22:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.