tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Charlotte via Washington: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:22 HPN → 16:58 DCA
    AA 5254 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 47% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 DCA → 19:37 CLT
    AA 2182 · American · 1h 47m · 71% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 15mHPN 15:22 to CLT 19:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.