tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Tampa via Washington: arrives on time 43%

  1. 15:22 HPN → 16:58 DCA
    AA 5254 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 47% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:51 DCA → 21:21 TPA
    AA 544 · American · 2h 27m · 59% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 56mHPN 15:22 to TPA 21:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.