tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 71%

  1. 05:04 SDF → 06:41 CLT
    AA 5255 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:50 CLT → 09:19 PHX
    AA 1381 · American · 4h 29m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 15mSDF 05:04 to PHX 09:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.