tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Charlotte via Washington: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:00 DAY → 07:39 DCA
    AA 5261 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 39m · 85% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DCA → 10:13 CLT
    AA 1518 · American · 1h 43m · 86% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 13mDAY 06:00 to CLT 10:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.