tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Dallas-Fort Worth via Washington: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 DAY → 07:39 DCA
    AA 5261 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 39m · 85% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 DCA → 12:21 DFW
    AA 1618 · American · 3h 21m · 80% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 21mDAY 06:00 to DFW 12:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.