tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dallas via Kansas City: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:30 DCA → 09:24 MCI
    AA 5268 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 52m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Kansas City (MCI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:00 MCI → 14:35 DAL
    WN 4759 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 75% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 05mDCA 07:30 to DAL 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.