tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Denver via Philadelphia: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:27 ORF → 08:43 PHL
    AA 5271 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 16m · 76% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 PHL → 11:56 DEN
    AA 3312 · American · 4h 21m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 29mORF 07:27 to DEN 11:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.