tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → San Juan via Philadelphia: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:27 ORF → 08:43 PHL
    AA 5271 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 16m · 76% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:04 PHL → 15:56 SJU
    B6 1047 · JetBlue · 3h 52m · 73% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 29mORF 07:27 to SJU 15:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.