Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Memphis → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 42%
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11:15 MEM → 14:40 PHLAA 5277 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 25m · 66% on time, 1.7% cancelled
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1h 05m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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15:45 PHL → 17:29 ORDAA 470 · American · 2h 44m · 64% on time, 3.0% cancelled
Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 14mMEM 11:15 to ORD 17:29, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.