tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Nantucket via Washington: arrives on time 55%

  1. 11:00 HPN → 12:19 DCA
    AA 5282 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 19m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 DCA → 16:40 ACK
    AA 4553 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 41m · 69% on time, 9.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (9.3% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 40mHPN 11:00 to ACK 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.