tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Dallas-Fort Worth via Washington: arrives on time 36%

  1. 12:49 MKE → 15:59 DCA
    AA 5286 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 10m · 61% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:11 DCA → 19:41 DFW
    AA 1414 · American · 3h 30m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 52mMKE 12:49 to DFW 19:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.