Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:49 MKE → 15:59 DCA
    AA 5286 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 10m · 61% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:22 DCA → 18:54 ORD
    AA 1630 · American · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 05mMKE 12:49 to ORD 18:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.