tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Boston via Washington: arrives on time 24%

  1. 12:49 MKE → 15:59 DCA
    AA 5286 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 10m · 61% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 DCA → 18:47 BOS
    AA 3207 · American · 1h 47m · 43% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip4h 58mMKE 12:49 to BOS 18:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.