tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 12:07 MHT → 14:36 CLT
    AA 5294 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 29m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:47 CLT → 17:36 MCO
    AA 1660 · American · 1h 49m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 29mMHT 12:07 to MCO 17:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.